I’m not a fan of hurricanes, so I don’t look forward to the start of Atlantic Hurricane Season, which kicks off on June 1.
Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins today, June 1st.
I hate hurricane season. I hate the thought of hurricanes.
In some ways, I shouldn’t at all. I know, for example, that hurricanes actually have an environmental benefit. Scientists tell us hurricanes are Mother Nature’s way of cooling ocean temperatures. They funnel colder air into the ocean as they spin.
And in terms of notice, you have much more time to prepare for a hurricane that’s headed your way than a tornado that can develop with little notice at all.
But at the same time, there can be a lot of angst as we watch those forecast models and where they project the storm will go. It’s difficult to nail down the exact path of any hurricane. The atmosphere, after all, is fluid and many factors are involved in determining exactly where a storm will go. Science would love to be able to pinpoint a storm’s path. I doubt seriously if that will ever happen.
So the best we can do is prepare when no storm is on the horizon.
NOAA predicts near-normal hurricane season
The official prediction for the 2019 hurricane season, produced by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, calls for between nine and 15 named storms, between four and eight hurricanes. Two to four of those hurricanes are expected to become “major hurricanes,” indicating a strength of Category 3 or greater.
I’m glad to hear they’re not calling for a hurricane season more active than that.
But don’t lower your guard just yet. As Time pointed out, last year’s season was very similar and while only two major hurricanes, Florence and Michael, made U.S. landfall, those two storms caused billions in damage.
This year’s storms will follow a typical naming convention. There is a six-year cycle of names rotated for hurricanes.
The 2019 list includes these names:
You’ll note we’ve already used the first name on the list, Andrea, for a short-lived storm that stayed well away from the U.S. coast.
And Imelda is a new name to this list. It replaced Ingrid, which was retired after 2013’s hurricane season because that hurricane caused 32 deaths.